Let's give this some thought.
Suppose you're trapped in a Chapter 13 five-year plan because you didn't pass the Means Test, and your lawyer didn't tell you about the various ways that you could pass the Means Test.
So you're plugged into a payment plan that runs five loooooooonnnnnnnnng years. Because that's what happens when you can't find a way to pass the Means Test, and you have to file a personal, consumer bankruptcy.
I don't count personal Chapter 11 Cases, because the risks, uncertainty, and expense of those is brutal.
No kidding.
All three.
So there you are, and the cost of coffee goes up 85% in one year.
Does that make your Chapter 13 impossible?
Of course not.
And let's suppose you wanted to strip down your second mortgage by half, because that's the amount it was undersecured on the date of the Chapter 13 Bankruptcy filing in Phoenix, or Scottsdale, or Chandler, or...you understand. Anyplace in AZ.
So you notice that in an ordinary year, the U.S. sees about 100,000 trustee's sales and mortgage foreclosures. But this year we'll go way, way, way past a million.
So what are the chances your strip-down will result in a reduction of your second mortgage to the correct number at the end of your five years in Bankruptcy Hell?
Putting it a different way, predicting a result that will happen in five years...are you the greatest economic analyst of all time, Jackie?
Yeah, that's what I thought.
p.s. what if the price of gasoline goes up by...an insane amount? Will that hurt your calculations, or your ability to buy food in your Chapter 13 Plan?
Take a look at some official U.S. Statistics from the labor department, and see what the increase in categories was during a year. Then understand that you need to survive those increases for five long years in a Chapter 13 driven by a failure to pass the Means Test.
Consumer Price Index Summary:
Table A. Percent changes in CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U): U.S. city
average
Seasonally adjusted changes from
preceding month
Un-
adjusted
12-mos.
Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June ended
2010 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 June
2011
All items.................. .4 .4 .5 .5 .4 .2 -.2 3.6
Food...................... .1 .5 .6 .8 .4 .4 .2 3.7
Food at home............. .2 .7 .8 1.1 .5 .5 .2 4.7
Food away from home (1).. .1 .2 .2 .3 .3 .2 .3 2.3
Energy.................... 4.0 2.1 3.4 3.5 2.2 -1.0 -4.4 20.1
Energy commodities....... 6.4 4.0 4.8 5.5 3.1 -1.9 -6.3 35.1
Gasoline (all types).... 6.7 3.5 4.7 5.6 3.3 -2.0 -6.8 35.6
Fuel oil (1)............ 4.9 6.8 5.8 6.2 3.2 -.8 -2.2 37.3
Energy services.......... .6 -.6 1.1 .2 .6 .6 -1.1 1.0
Electricity............. .3 -.5 .4 .7 .2 .8 -1.6 1.5
Utility (piped) gas
service.............. 1.7 -1.2 3.4 -1.4 1.9 -.3 .4 -.8
All items less food and
energy................. .1 .2 .2 .1 .2 .3 .3 1.6
Commodities less food and
energy commodities.... -.1 .2 .2 .1 .4 .5 .5 1.6
New vehicles............ -.1 -.1 1.0 .7 .7 1.1 .6 4.0
Used cars and trucks.... -.1 -.3 .1 .8 1.2 1.1 1.6 5.1
Apparel................. .1 1.0 -.9 -.5 .2 1.2 1.4 1.9
Medical care commodities
(1).................. .1 .5 .7 .5 .5 .0 -.1 2.9
Services less energy
services.............. .1 .1 .2 .2 .1 .2 .1 1.6
Shelter................. .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .2 .2 1.2
Transportation services .2 .6 .5 .5 .2 .1 -.3 3.1
Medical care services... .3 -.1 .4 .1 .3 .3 .3 2.9